From videoconferencing to our favorite word — Isaac Asimov’s *correct* 1964 predictions for 2014

After visiting New York’s World Fair in 1964, Isaac Asimov wrote an article for the New York Times called, “Visit to the World’s Fair of 2014.” In the piece, he imagined the progress humankind would make over the next 50 years.

Isaac Asimov

Of course, many of his more specific predictions sound silly now — moon colonies, hovercrafts, and luminescent walls, for example — but in regard to a few technologies and then on a more general level he was remarkably prescient.

Here are several of his claims about 2014 that have come to fruition…

Videoconferencing and Internet Research

Communications will become sight-sound and you will see as well as hear the person you telephone. The screen can be used not only to see the people you call but also for studying documents and photographs and reading passages from books.

Worldwide Cell Service

Synchronous satellites, hovering in space will make it possible for you to direct-dial any spot on earth, including the weather stations in Antarctica.

Mediocre Robots

Robots will neither be common nor very good in 2014, but they will be in existence.

Driverless Cars

Much effort will be put into the designing of vehicles with “Robot-brains” that can be set for particular destinations and that will then proceed there without interference by the slow reflexes of a human driver.

Necessity of Computer-focused Education

The world of A.D. 2014 will have few routine jobs that cannot be done better by some machine than by any human being. Mankind will therefore have become largely a race of machine tenders. Schools will have to be oriented in this direction…. All the high-school students will be taught the fundamentals of computer technology, will become proficient in binary arithmetic, and will be trained to perfection in the use of the computer languages that will have developed out of those like the contemporary “Fortran.”

Pervasive Ennui and Poor Mental Health

[M]ankind will suffer badly from the disease of boredom, a disease spreading more widely each year and growing in intensity. This will have serious mental, emotional and sociological consequences, and I dare say that psychiatry will be far and away the most important medical specialty in 2014.

2014′s Favorite Word

Finally, he closes with his most overarching prediction — one that is probably not true for most, but some of us will relate…

Indeed, the most somber speculation I can make about A.D. 2014 is that in a society of enforced leisure, the most glorious single word in the vocabulary will have become work!

Isaac Asimov - 02

(via Open Culture, Treehugger)

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Comments 3

  1. well, Why don’t you use for your list? It’s a free tool, lacks some features but it’s still in beta, so… I am pretty sure you’ll love using it. Thanks for posting your words.

  2. Actually…in science fiction terms, robots were envisioned as resembling humans and autonomous. Manufacturing/industrial robots were already around when he made these predictions.

  3. Actually… he was wrong about robots. Autonomous or semi-autonomous robots are rare and severely imperfect, but manufacturing robots are plentiful and very good at what they do.

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From videoconferencing to our favorite word — Isaac Asimov’s *correct* 1964 predictions for 2014

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